Bulletin Board
Rants, Raves, Interesting Science & Awful Puns
October 24, 2004

AIDS Cut In Half

But It's Not News

Interesting piece by UC Berkeley law professor Phillip Johnson in the October, 2004 issue of Touchstone magazine reports that the figures that the media have been blaring about a planet-wide AIDS epidemic have been drastically slashed because of "errors in statistical methods." Translation: the figures are "estimates" that derive not from counts of real cases on the ground or anything else subject to actual corroboration, but are extrapolations from computer models based on highly questionable assumptions. An insight too into why many with the means to correct the public perceptions of such glaring misunderstandings fail to do so. What qualification does a law professor have to comment on such an issue? some might ask. Well, when it comes to a question of examining and evaluating arguments and evidence, perhaps quite a lot.

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