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Rants, Raves, Interesting Science & Awful Puns
December 20, 2007

So Much For The Warming

Now For The Cooling?

Do you remember the time before "climate change," when they called it "global warming"? And what did they call it before that? The hysteria back in the 1970s was about "global cooling," with the next ice age about to descend. And yet, we've survived, along with the polar bears who didn't become extinct during the much warmer period that climatologists call the Medieval Climatic Optimum. After 1970 the planet stopped its very slight cooling and began to undergo very slight warming, with the result that by the 1980s the harlots of academia, Washington D.C. law offices, and the media, who flock to wherever the funds are gushing, exchanged their flannel long johns for beach shorts and sunblock, and faxed their publishers to change all references to "cooling" to "warming" for the paperback edition. But then in 1998 the planet stopped its very slight warming and has now reversed into a discernible very slight cooling. So now, rather than have to to rewrite the bumper stickers every 30 years, the new mantra is to just call it "climate change," which is good for just about anything.

It seems that scientists are finally getting tired of political and anti-technology activists telling the world what scientists think. An open letter to the UN Secretary-General, signed by a long list of leading specialists in the field, begins:

UN climate conference taking the World in entirely the wrong direction. It is not possible to stop climate change, a natural phenomenon that has affected humanity through the ages. Geological, archaeological, oral and written histories all attest to the dramatic challenges posed to past societies from unanticipated changes in temperature, precipitation, winds and other climatic variables. . . . The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has issued increasingly alarming conclusions about the climatic influences of human-produced carbon dioxide (CO2), a non-polluting gas that is essential to plant photosynthesis. While we understand the evidence that has led them to view CO2 emissions as harmful, the IPCC's conclusions are quite inadequate as justification for implementing policies that will markedly diminish future prosperity. In particular, it is not established that it is possible to significantly alter global climate through cuts in human greenhouse gas emissions.

Full text posted at http://www.rense.com/general79/d3m.htm

Warnings of the present reversal and a subsequent cooling have been around for for a while but were not generally reported.

From Chinese researchers in February, 2006: "The Coming Global Cooling"

UK Telegraph, 2006: "There IS a problem with global warming... it stopped in 1998."

From a Russian scientist, January 2007: "Earth in for another 'ice age' in mid-century."

Canada's National Post, 20 June 2007
"The mud at the bottom of B.C. fjords reveals that solar output drives climate change - and that we should prepare now for dangerous global cooling."
"Solar scientists predict that, by 2020, the sun will be starting into its weakest Schwabe solar cycle of the past two centuries, likely leading to unusually cool conditions on Earth. Beginning to plan for adaptation to such a cool period, one which may continue well beyond one 11-year cycle, as did the Little Ice Age, should be a priority for governments. It is global cooling, not warming, that is the major climate threat to the world, especially Canada..."

More recent accounts seem to support claims of a current reversal. Some examples:

From David Deming, Year of Global Cooling, Washington Times, December 19, 2007:
-- South America this year experienced one of its coldest winters in decades. In Buenos Aires, snow fell for the first time since 1918.
-- Johannesburg, South Africa, had the first significant snowfall in 26 years.
-- Australia experienced the coldest June ever.
-- Charlotte, N.C., experienced 21 deg F on April 8, 2007, the coldest ever recorded for April, breaking a record set in 1923.
-- December, 2007, saw record low temperatures in Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Oregon.
-- Dec. 4, Seoul, Korea, the temperature was a record minus 5 degrees Celsius.
-- The Canadian government warns that this winter is likely to be the coldest in 15 years.

Australian Sunday Telegraph: Fear of a global 'coldening'

All this despite atmospheric CO2 having increased by about 10% since warming leveled out in 1998. What's confounding the end-of-life-as-we-know-it predictions is that they come from computer models that have the dogma of CO2 driving the temperature built-in. In the real world, things are the other way around: temperature increases that happen first for other reasons--such as changes in something small and insignificant like the Sun--trigger the release of CO2 from various reservoirs. And the major agent, by far, of the greenhouse effect that keeps the Earth livable at this distance from the Sun is not CO2, anyway, but water vapor--to the tune of about 96%. But you can't tax water vapor--at least, not yet; but give them time and they'll no doubt come up with a case for penalizing the exhalation and use of it. In the meantime, see http://www.rocketscientistsjournal.com/2006/10/co2_acquittal.html for a factual overview of the role played by CO2, entitled "The Acquittal of Carbon Dioxide."

A bit at a loss and bewildered? A good resource guide for materials countering the man-made global warming hysteria can be found at http://z4.invisionfree.com/Popular_Technology/index.php?showtopic=2050

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